본문
Good morning. My name is Byun, Dong Shik, CEO of a "First-Class" daily
economy newspaper, the Finacial News.
Since the late 20th century, an unprecedented population shrink has been shaking
the foundation of a nation. Sizable territory, securing resources and economic power
have thus far been key standards of powerful countries. However, essential
requirements for becoming powerful nations are evolving. For now, population
is one of the new requirements.
In the aftermath of the tragic Korean War, South Korea has become the only
democratic nation to be listed as one of advanced economies on the basis of the
miracle of Han River. In spite of such outstanding achievement, there is a growing
concern about becoming a top country which will likely to experience economic
downturn due to a recent drop in population growth.
American economist Harry Dent suggested a concept of demographic cliff and he
warned that South Korea is likely to be the “last advanced country” heading for
the demographic cliff beginning in 2018. More recently, Elon Musk, a chief of
Tesla, noted that its population could face a significant drop.
In fact, we are at a critical jeopardy of the demographic cliff. In 2005, the former
Noh administration made considerable efforts to promote demographic policies
by enacting the Framework Act on Low Birth Rate in an Aging Society, but no
marked outcome was achieved. As all of you see, South Korea records one of
the lowest fertility rates in the world. Surprisingly since last year, it marked the first
year of the “Population Dead Cross,” a phenomenon in which the number of
the deceased surpassed that of newborns in South Korea happening here
in South Korea.
The ripple effects of demographic shock caused by low birth and population ageing
led to the “local extinctions” beyond lack of workforce and fiscal distress due to
population decline. When the number of people grew significantly, a phenomenon
of “concentration of population in metropolitan areas” referred to a more rapid rise of
population in cities than in provincial areas. However, amid the number of people
shrinking, this term now refers to a rapid migration from provincial regions to
metropolitan areas.
Having experienced a depopulation shock earlier, the Japanese government has
drawn up and put longer-term visions to create villages and jobs and gather
people in place since 2015. It is working hard to prevent further population shrinking
in provincial areas by strengthening regional characteristics and autonomy in
coordination with the central government, local governments and companies.
Taking this issue seriously, the Yoon administration is working to draw up
comprehensive population plans on a wide range of issues such as low birth
rate, population ageing and local extinctions. Still, expanding state-backed
support for encouraging birth and particular policies is not adequate to fully
respond to the demographic cliff crisis. With a focus on enhancing quality of life
and future happiness, it is necessary to take an ecological approach that
pursues a balance between metropolitan areas and provincial regions.
Under the theme of “Overcoming population extinction and regions and seeking
balanced ways to promote ecological development,” the Seoul Demographic
Symposium is deemed to serve as a venue where various ideas and ways
to overcome low birth rate and local extinctions will be vibrantly discussed.
Today’s speaker Hiroya Masuda, who is President and CEO of Japan Post
Holdings, warned of a great crisis derived from a significant population
decline in his book “Local Extinctions” released in 2014. His insight appears
to give us an important lesson.
Also, I would like to convey my deepest thanks to Jeon Ju-hye, a lawmaker of
the People Power Party, Vice Chairman of the Ministry of Gender Equality &
Family Lee Ki-soon, Secretary General of the Presidential Committee on
Ageing Society and Population Policy Park Jin-kyung and President of
the Korea Demographics Society Lee Sung-yong who have supported for
this event. And it is also my gratitude for all you spared time to attend
this event. I hope it would be meaningful to you.
Byun, Dong Shik
President,
The Financial News